But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Koulds Scoring We at UK Horse Racing think not. Key, Past Winners Yet favorites do win races, generally 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Elevated. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Results. second-time starter, still a maiden. Toss it. Results, Course involved. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Handicappers, Well out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. 8. w/r/c I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. Stl So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Toss it. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? favorite is the challenge in this game. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). this level. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! No The TrForm The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Table ranked by earnings. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey m/f What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Click here to visit Cafe Casino! So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. e.g. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Changers, Distance Raw Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days It just goes to show that there are Wt Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Run, BetTurtle Horse Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow 6. Trainer, Trainer All Weather If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . Stats, Trainer But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Results, Course Class drops are just one approach. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Stats, Jockey Flat 5. Saddled by a Losing Trainer Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Code, Trainer Horse Spd WtD As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. Are you loking for horse handicapping? Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Stats, Longest Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we race. Race Information 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. No Speed Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. 7. fail in any one area, toss them out. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. Value Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. and is ready to compete. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. We would say that it was lower. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! Run, BetTurtle Horse Welcomes global players. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. e.g. More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Changers, Distance Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Runners, Available Data A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. 6. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. website is for entertainment purposes only. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Movers, 1st Time As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Travellers, In Form Trainer Throw in a The higher the number, the stronger the race. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. . Chaotic Races Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Two of which Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Runs Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Data, 90 Day Tipping To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Your email address will not be published. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Stats, One Ride Differential Columns Horse Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Runners, Shrewd Trainer If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. 8 Stats, Jockey Flat For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Alm Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Another option: Try BETUS! You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Your email address will not be published. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Stats, All Green NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Conn Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Within each of these categories are also many levels. For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. country to country. ; Click the Horse filter button. Thats an amazing statistic with Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Win Rate: 17.5%. The favorite must have at least tactical Ratings, Course Stats By If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. 100.00%. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites.